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Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?

by Richard Roberts | Sep 28, 2024 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

In a surprising move last week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, citing unconvincing and vague concerns about labor market cracks as the primary rationale. As I discussed in my recent MNI Podcast episode, FedSpeak: 50bp Not New Easing...

Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The Hill

by Richard Roberts | May 11, 2024 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

Monetary policy isn’t just about interest rates but the delicate dance of expectations and reality. In my recent op-ed for The Hill, I delve into how Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s messaging creates paradoxical outcomes that influence everything from inflation...

After Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank: Are Regional Banks Next?

by Richard Roberts | Mar 19, 2023 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

In just one week, the U.S. banking sector has been shaken by two of the largest failures in its history. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on March 10, followed closely by the closure of Signature Bank on March 12, has sent shockwaves through financial...

Did the Fed Wait Too Long? The Risks of Stubborn Inflation

by Richard Roberts | Apr 17, 2022 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

The Federal Reserve has finally begun its long-awaited tightening cycle, raising the federal funds rate by 25 basis points in March—the first increase since 2018. This move comes as inflation, measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, surged...

A Warning to the Fed: Inflation May Not Be “Transitory” and Could Spin Out of Control

by Richard Roberts | May 22, 2021 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

Under Chair Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve continues to reassure markets and the public that the current inflationary pressures are “transitory.” This conveniently allows the Central Bank to keep interest rates low to ensure the economy is well out of...
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Recent Posts

  • It’s Time to Fix How We Measure InflationJanuary 8, 2026
  • The Fed Hits the Gas: Unpacking Three Consecutive Rate Cuts and What Comes NextJanuary 1, 2026
  • A Turning Point for Policy: Rate Cuts, Fiscal Stimulus, and the Stakes for InflationNovember 8, 2025
  • More Political Pressure Coming the Fed’s Way?October 23, 2025
  • The Risk of a Financial Disruption in the U.S. EconomyJanuary 11, 2025
  • Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?September 28, 2024
  • Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The HillMay 11, 2024
  • After Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank: Are Regional Banks Next?March 19, 2023
  • Did the Fed Wait Too Long? The Risks of Stubborn InflationApril 17, 2022
  • A Warning to the Fed: Inflation May Not Be “Transitory” and Could Spin Out of ControlMay 22, 2021

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