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Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?

by Richard Roberts | Sep 28, 2024 | FOMC, Inflation

In a surprising move last week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, citing unconvincing and vague concerns about labor market cracks as the primary rationale. As I discussed in my recent MNI Podcast episode, FedSpeak: 50bp Not New Easing...

Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The Hill

by Richard Roberts | May 11, 2024 | FOMC, General, Inflation

Monetary policy isn’t just about interest rates but the delicate dance of expectations and reality. In my recent op-ed for The Hill, I delve into how Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s messaging creates paradoxical outcomes that influence everything from inflation...

After Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank: Are Regional Banks Next?

by Richard Roberts | Mar 19, 2023 | FOMC, Monetary Policy

In just one week, the U.S. banking sector has been shaken by two of the largest failures in its history. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on March 10, followed closely by the closure of Signature Bank on March 12, has sent shockwaves through financial...

Did the Fed Wait Too Long? The Risks of Stubborn Inflation

by Richard Roberts | Apr 17, 2022 | COVID-19, FOMC, Inflation

The Federal Reserve has finally begun its long-awaited tightening cycle, raising the federal funds rate by 25 basis points in March—the first increase since 2018. This move comes as inflation, measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, surged...

A Warning to the Fed: Inflation May Not Be “Transitory” and Could Spin Out of Control

by Richard Roberts | May 22, 2021 | COVID-19, FOMC, Inflation

Under Chair Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve continues to reassure markets and the public that the current inflationary pressures are “transitory.” This conveniently allows the Central Bank to keep interest rates low to ensure the economy is well out of...

Let’s Not Doze Off at the Wheel of Inflation

by Richard Roberts | Mar 14, 2021 | COVID-19, FOMC, Inflation

As we move further into 2021, the economy is rebounding from the devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic. Stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits, and unprecedented monetary policy actions have fueled a recovery that, on the surface, looks robust. Yet, beneath...

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Recent Posts

  • The Risk of a Financial Disruption in the U.S. EconomyJanuary 11, 2025
  • Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?September 28, 2024
  • Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The HillMay 11, 2024
  • After Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank: Are Regional Banks Next?March 19, 2023
  • Did the Fed Wait Too Long? The Risks of Stubborn InflationApril 17, 2022
  • A Warning to the Fed: Inflation May Not Be “Transitory” and Could Spin Out of ControlMay 22, 2021
  • Let’s Not Doze Off at the Wheel of InflationMarch 14, 2021
  • The COVID Shutdown: What It Could Mean for the Financial and Economic LandscapeMarch 18, 2020

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