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It’s Time to Fix How We Measure Inflation

by Richard Roberts | Jan 8, 2026 | FOMC, General, Inflation

America’s economic policymakers are flying blind with outdated instruments. While the Federal Reserve makes important decisions based partially on inflation data, the metrics utilized are plagued by methodological flaws that distort our understanding of the true...

A Turning Point for Policy: Rate Cuts, Fiscal Stimulus, and the Stakes for Inflation

by Richard Roberts | Nov 8, 2025 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

On October 29, the Federal Reserve delivered its second 25-basis-point cut since September, lowering the federal funds rate target to 3.75%–4.00%. Moreover, the Fed announced it will halt balance-sheet reduction on December 1, a move that signals a formal pause in...

More Political Pressure Coming the Fed’s Way?

by Richard Roberts | Oct 23, 2025 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic spent much of the post-pandemic period supporting accommodative monetary policies to aid economic recovery. But persistent inflation, lingering tariff effects, and structural shifts in the labor market have prompted a notable turn:...

The Risk of a Financial Disruption in the U.S. Economy

by Richard Roberts | Jan 11, 2025 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

The U.S. economy is walking a tightrope. A fragile balance lies beneath the surface of robust labor market performance and sustained consumer spending, where persistent inflation, frothy asset markets, a growing budget deficit, and looming uncertainties could ignite a...

Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?

by Richard Roberts | Sep 28, 2024 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

In a surprising move last week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, citing unconvincing and vague concerns about labor market cracks as the primary rationale. As I discussed in my recent MNI Podcast episode, FedSpeak: 50bp Not New Easing...

Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The Hill

by Richard Roberts | May 11, 2024 | FOMC, General, Inflation, Monetary Policy

Monetary policy isn’t just about interest rates but the delicate dance of expectations and reality. In my recent op-ed for The Hill, I delve into how Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s messaging creates paradoxical outcomes that influence everything from inflation...
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Recent Posts

  • It’s Time to Fix How We Measure InflationJanuary 8, 2026
  • The Fed Hits the Gas: Unpacking Three Consecutive Rate Cuts and What Comes NextJanuary 1, 2026
  • A Turning Point for Policy: Rate Cuts, Fiscal Stimulus, and the Stakes for InflationNovember 8, 2025
  • More Political Pressure Coming the Fed’s Way?October 23, 2025
  • The Risk of a Financial Disruption in the U.S. EconomyJanuary 11, 2025
  • Did the Fed Jump the Gun with a 50 Basis Point Cut?September 28, 2024
  • Exploring “The Powell Paradox”: My Op-Ed in The HillMay 11, 2024
  • After Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank: Are Regional Banks Next?March 19, 2023
  • Did the Fed Wait Too Long? The Risks of Stubborn InflationApril 17, 2022
  • A Warning to the Fed: Inflation May Not Be “Transitory” and Could Spin Out of ControlMay 22, 2021

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